Cracking the Code on Malaysia 370: The Ping is the Thing….
I can’t take credit for actually cracking the code on this one – that belongs to American Everyman, possessor of the most acute “truthdar” known to man…but even with him laying it out, it took me a few passes to fully comprehend the smoking gun he found, so I thought I would try to explain it in a nutshell….
Here’s what happened in the initial moments of the crisis of Malaysia flight 370…
At 1:07am on March 8, a periodic scheduled ACARS-with-data transmission was sent by flight 370. Another ACARS-with-data was not expected until 1:37.
At 1:19am, one of the pilots radio communicated “Alright, good night.”
At 1:21am, flight 370 disappeared from radar after briefly registering a drop in altitude from 35,000 to 0 feet.
In the video below (start watching at 3:05), check out the data in the box on the left. Altitude is shown at 35,000 then drops to 0 feet shortly before the plane drops off radar. (There might be an explanation for the altitude to drop to zero in a crisis, but note, the data doesn’t simply zero out across the board – speed for example still registers.)
Viet Nam said there was debris seen including what looked like a plane door as well as two oil slicks consistent with two jet fuel tanks off its southern coast but it was too dark to land a plane nearby so the search was delayed. China released satellite images of debris nearby as well. The debris was reportedly never found and Malaysia dismissed the oil slick as coming from a sea vessel, but an oil rig worker gave detailed information on witnessing the plane going down at that location, as shown in his email below.
As a person who is GREAT at finding things, I can tell you, ALWAYS start with the last known location. For this reason, I would expect a thorough search to be conducted at the one location all this information points to: the South China Sea. With two weeks of 24/7 coverage of an event with no new information, if a thorough search of the South China Sea did happen, we would surely be seeing footage of it over and over again, yet not even a mention of such a search has been made.
So why are authorities looking in a 7 million square mile area that does NOT include this relatively shallow, well-defined area in the South China Sea? The video below shows the bizarre map of the 7 million square mile search area which excludes the area the scant evidence points to.
Two bits of data have supposedly justified diverting the search from this location. They are: an unidentified object on Malaysia’s military radar which, if it was flight 370 (which is an assumption) would mean that flight 370 made a hard left. The other data are the satellite “pings” that the MSM is calling the “handshake” of the plane – this is an ACARS signal sent every hour from an antenna on the exterior of the plane that does not transmit comprehensive data like the normal ACARS transmission sent every 30 minutes, though it does identify the plane.
Here’s the thing about those pings though…
A ping does not show a precise location, it just interpolates the angle from which the ping hit the satellite. Straight down is 0 degrees, off the poles of the satellite is 90 degrees. The ping we are shown in the graphic below indicates an angle of 40 degrees which describes a circle around the satellite of possible locations from which the ping originated. We are told there were pings received until 8:11 am, which, if they came from a moving plane, should describe a different circle around the satellite for each ping received. Any movement of the plane would change the angle of transmission to the satellite except an arced course within a narrow band along the circle described by the 40 degree ping. Furthermore, the very notion that the arcs represent a flight path is a misconception. The arcs are merely segments of the circle described by the “last ping.” When the arcs are connected, you can also see that the circle described by the last ping goes right through the location of the last communication of the jet and the location of the debris spotted by China on satellite in the South China Sea.
Notice that the graphic above highlights the military radar’s presumed sighting of the flight rather than the last confirmed sighting of the flight which is right along the ping circle. The two photos below are of last contact with the plane (top) and the location of the debris spotted by Chinese satellite (bottom). Compare them with the ping-circle – they are spot on it.
Here’s another view of the ping circle – it goes right over where the debris was spotted…
The very serious question all of this raises is: Why has only one ping circle been released? Surely if there had been pings from other locations that data would have been released and greatly narrowed the search area as it would have indicated a more limited number of possible flight paths. That is, in the first graphic above, rather than numerous grey circles indicating potential ping paths and one red one indicating a known ping path, there should be 7 or 8 red circles indicating each hourly ping until 8:11am, which would carve out a narrower set of possible locations of the plane and greatly increase the likelihood of success of search efforts. (A bogus and debunked ping-map has been making the rounds, but even the source doesn’t stand by it.)
The obvious answer seems to be that this single “last ping” was received at 1:11am just before the plane went down, not at 8:11am as we are being told. Given that it took almost a week for this ping to be reported, and that the US government received and analyzed the data before the Malaysian government, I think it’s likely that the data got “spun” first. According to The Journal,
It wasn’t clear how U.S. officials obtained the initial Inmarsat data, which they analyzed and helped translate into maps. Regardless, people briefed on the probe agree it took longer than expected for the information to spread from engineers and technical experts who cranked out the first version of the data to policy makers and then back down to officials directing specific elements of the searches.
In fact, they are not using any other pings in the analysis, despite the fact that they claim they are crunching data in new and different ways. All they did was take the last ping – the one that overlaps the point of last contact over the South China Sea – and estimated the minimum and maximum distances the plane could have flown in 6 hours from the point the Malaysian military spotted an unidentified object on radar. If you really see the simplistic method used to create the 7 million square mile search area, you might begin to wonder if the goal was to create the broadest possible search area rather than the narrowest one.
Furthermore, the original story in The Wall Street Journal claiming the flight kept going depended on Boeing data which that company quickly disavowed. According to a subsequent Journal article:
Malaysia Airlines said it hadn’t received any such data. According to Boeing, the plane’s manufacturer, the airline didn’t purchase a package through Boeing to monitor its airplanes’ data through the satellite system.
This led the Malaysian transport minister to make the following statement:
I would like to refer to news reports suggesting that the aircraft may have continued flying for some time after the last contact,” Hishammuddin told a news briefing. “As Malaysia Airlines will confirm shortly, those reports are inaccurate.
Shortly after the Boeing data was discredited, the Inmarsat data conveniently popped up to shore up the claim that the plane kept flying after contact was lost.
And just to clear up some confusion about the communications going down at different times thereby indicating foul play–that doesn’t hold water either. The three methods of communication, ACARS-with-data, radio contact and secondary radar, we are told went down respectively at 1:07, 1:19 and 1:21. That is, ACARS-with-data went down at 1:07, the last radio call was the good night at 1:19 and secondary radar contact was lost at 1:21. If the plane blew up at 1:21, 1:07 would have been the last transmission of ACARS-with-data as it was scheduled to go off every 30 minutes – it missed its 1:37 transmission as it would have if the plane was destroyed at 1:21. According to The Wall Street Journal,
Mr. Hishammuddin, who is also Malaysia’s acting transport minister, on Monday said the last report from Acars came at 1:07 a.m. local time on March 8, not long after Flight 370 took off. It failed to transmit its next update, scheduled for 30 minutes later at 1:37 a.m.
Finally, the last radio communication would have been anytime before 1:21, which it was – 1:19. No foul play (beyond a single catastrophic event at 1:21am) is necessary to explain all this.
So here’s the question: Why are they looking everywhere BUT the most likely location of the plane?
The conspiracy theories the MSM are peddling are NOT the story here, the cover-up is the story. The sad part is that the families of the victims can’t start grieving while they still have hope, though by all reports, they suspect a cover-up too.
Here is the podcast of my show on the subject http://themonicaperezshow.com/podcasts-2/